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China 2020: The next decade for the People’s Republic of China

Edited by Kerry Brown, Senior Fellow at Chatham House, UK

Chandos Asian Studies Series No. 34

This stimulating and thought-provoking analysis of what China will be like in ten years' time is particularly valuable for including the views of China experts who do not normally write in the public domain
John Everard, former British Ambassador to North Korea

 - concentrates on the practical policy impacts and the expected outcomes each of the above areas will have
 - deals with issues like the opening up of China’s undeveloped western area. A subject with little coverage in other mainstream books on China
 - takes a short to mid-term view of China’s development, so that the period is highly definable and the contours of what might happen are already clear
 - written by a group of writers with immense experience as diplomats and academics in China
 - includes an assessment of China’s legal development by a lawyer who has worked both in China and the United Kingdom for a major international legal practice

This book presents eight separate essays and provides the reader with a unique perspective and objective judgement of where China will stand by the end of the current decade. It is suitable reading for foreign policy practitioners, academics and anyone interested in one of the world’s fastest-developing countries. The eight essays cover the following topics: China’s internal politics; China’s military; China’s economy; China’s international image and its international relations; China’s legal development and China’s western regional development plans. China 2020 assesses where these issues stand today and highlights their likely trajectory over the following decade. A unique feature of this book is that it looks in particular at the policy impact, both for China and other countries, and all the most and least likely outcomes for China’s development in these areas.

Readership: Policy makers dealing with China in government, and in companies with interests in or around China, and those who run non government organisations. Students and academics specialising in regional studies, and international studies and relations will also have an interest in this book.

£80.00 / US$135.00 / €95.00

An e-book version of this title is available to purchase as part of a Collection or Pick n Mix. Visit Chandos Publishing Online

About the editor

Kerry Brown is a former diplomat, author of four books on China, and Senior Fellow at Chatham House in London. He is also an active Research Associate at the International Relations Centre at the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS) based in London.

Contributors include: Kerry Brown, Elizabeth Corrin, Gary Li, Tim Summers, Victoria Turke, Jonathan Watts, Kate Westgarth, and Peter Wood.

Titles which may also be of interest:
Internet Law in China
Multinational Corporation Subsidiaries in China
Development and Reform of Higher Education in China
Doing Business Successfully in China
Truths and Half Truths

Contents

China in 2020: the leadership and the Party
Kate Westgarth
 - The background
 - A learning-oriented Marxist party
 - Intra-Party democracy
 - The transition
 - The posts
 - Notes

China 2020: international relations
Kerry Brown
 - The current parameters of China’s foreign policy
 - A China that can say no but is still unhappy
 - The elephant in the room: the US will always be number one
 - The world beyond the US
 - The two big problems: Taiwan and North Korea
 - China as an international player by 2020
 - International China in the coming decade – the two paths
 - A Beijing model
 - The key factor: what happens within
 - Notes

The Chinese economy in the next decade
Peter Wood
 - Forecasting China
 - The Chinese state
 - Politics, policy and the state
 - China and the global economy
 - The fi nancial sector
 - Inequality and consumption
 - Demography
 - Urbanisation
 - Conclusion
 - Notes

China’s military in 2020
Gary Li
 - Introduction: robust economy
 - Arms embargoes
 - Combat experience
 - Confi dence and change
 - PLA: the armed wing of the Party
 - The PLA ground forces
 - The People’s Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF)
 - The People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN)
 - The Second Artillery Corps (SAC)
 - The People’s Armed Police (PAP)
 - Cyber warfare
 - Strategic implications
 - Force projection
 - Defence in depth
 - Policy implications
 - Conclusion
 - Notes

China’s environment in 2020
Jonathan Watts
 - Economy
 - Resource constraints
 - International climate talks
 - Energy and renewable power
 - Waste and pollution
 - Food
 - Biodiversity
 - Politics

China’s western regions 2020: their national and global implications
Tim Summers
 - What are China’s western regions?
 - Issues raised by the western regions
 - Development and Develop the West
 - Economic growth and human development in the western regions
 - Western regions in global perspective
 - Chongqing and Chengdu – growth pole(s) for the western regions?
 - Prospects to 2020 and policy implications
 - Notes

China’s rule of law
Elizabeth Corrin
 - Chinese and foreigners
 - Asian values and the law
 - Development of law in China in modern history
 - The constitution
 - Elements of the legal system in China
 - The judiciary
 - The legislative system
 - Law versus the state in China
 - Human and civil rights
 - New developments infl uencing law in China
 - Conclusion
 - Policy approaches
 - Notes

China’s ‘soft power’ development by 2020
Victoria Tuke
 - ‘Soft power’ in Chinese discourse
 - China’s tools of soft power
 - Beijing’s objectives
 - The domestic priority
 - Challenges ahead
 - Weaknesses in China’s soft power currency
 - China’s soft power in 2020
 - Conclusion
 - Notes